Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000943 0.001081 0.001220 0.001369 0.001524 0.001681 0.001850
2026-02-01 0.000713 0.000910 0.001114 0.001340 0.001581 0.001829 0.002101
2026-02-08 0.000553 0.000792 0.001049 0.001340 0.001657 0.001988 0.002357
2026-02-15 0.000431 0.000701 0.001002 0.001352 0.001740 0.002149 0.002609
2026-02-22 0.000338 0.000632 0.000973 0.001377 0.001830 0.002315 0.002863
2026-03-01 0.000243 0.000548 0.000917 0.001366 0.001877 0.002429 0.003059
2026-03-08 0.000155 0.000458 0.000847 0.001332 0.001894 0.002506 0.003210
2026-03-15 0.000103 0.000406 0.000818 0.001343 0.001958 0.002633 0.003413
2026-03-22 0.000056 0.000349 0.000776 0.001334 0.001996 0.002728 0.003579
2026-03-29 0.000029 0.000316 0.000762 0.001357 0.002069 0.002861 0.003784
2026-04-05 0.000006 0.000269 0.000726 0.001350 0.002105 0.002950 0.003939
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000217 0.000675 0.001321 0.002113 0.003006 0.004055
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000139 0.000588 0.001257 0.002096 0.003052 0.004185
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000089 0.000533 0.001232 0.002124 0.003152 0.004375
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000056 0.000499 0.001233 0.002185 0.003288 0.004607
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000033 0.000475 0.001246 0.002259 0.003439 0.004856
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000018 0.000461 0.001270 0.002346 0.003605 0.005120
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000003 0.000424 0.001260 0.002388 0.003717 0.005322
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000376 0.001228 0.002400 0.003792 0.005480
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000356 0.001238 0.002465 0.003928 0.005708
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000327 0.001230 0.002504 0.004033 0.005898
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001252 0.002582 0.004183 0.006139
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001245 0.002621 0.004285 0.006323